12 games on the MLB slate for Thursday 24 September 2026. The model has assessed every matchup against the current market.

Season record: 15/48 (31.2%)

Today's Picks

The model has identified 2 value bets today where our win probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied odds.

Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - MLB

• Model: Kansas City Royals 52.1% vs Chicago White Sox 47.9%
• Books: Kansas City Royals 46.1% vs Chicago White Sox 53.9%
• Pick: Kansas City Royals @ 2.16
• Kelly stake: 1.8% of bankroll

Houston Astros @ Oakland Athletics - MLB

• Model: Oakland Athletics 44.2% vs Houston Astros 55.8%
• Books: Oakland Athletics 40.0% vs Houston Astros 60.0%
• Pick: Oakland Athletics @ 2.52
• Kelly stake: 1.2% of bankroll

No Value Identified

The following games were assessed but the model found no edge over the market:

• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - model: New York Yankees 59.7% vs Tampa Bay Rays 40.3%
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - model: Boston Red Sox 53.6% vs Cleveland Guardians 46.4%
• Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners - model: Seattle Mariners 65.0% vs Los Angeles Angels 35.0%
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - model: Texas Rangers 52.6% vs New York Mets 47.4%
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - model: Chicago Cubs 61.8% vs Miami Marlins 38.2%
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - model: Colorado Rockies 34.8% vs Arizona Diamondbacks 65.2%
• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - model: Pittsburgh Pirates 57.8% vs St. Louis Cardinals 42.2%
• Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - model: Philadelphia Phillies 51.9% vs Milwaukee Brewers 48.1%
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - model: Atlanta Braves 66.1% vs Cincinnati Reds 33.9%
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - model: Los Angeles Dodgers 59.0% vs San Diego Padres 41.0%

Today's Schedule

• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - 12:35 PM ET - PNC Park - Kyle Leahy vs Paul Skenes
• Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - 2:10 PM ET - Kauffman Stadium - David Sandlin vs Randy Dobnak
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - 2:20 PM ET - Wrigley Field - Tyler Phillips vs Matthew Boyd
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - 2:35 PM ET - Globe Life Field - Zac Thornton vs Kumar Rocker
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - 3:10 PM ET - Coors Field - Eduardo Rodriguez vs Tanner Gordon
• Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - 6:05 PM ET - Citizens Bank Park - Bryse Wilson vs Andrew Painter
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - 6:45 PM ET - Fenway Park - Daniel Espino vs Ranger Suarez
• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - 7:05 PM ET - Yankee Stadium - Ian Seymour vs Cam Schlittler
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - 7:15 PM ET - Truist Park - Brady Singer vs Tyler Mahle
• Houston Astros @ Athletics - 9:40 PM ET - Sutter Health Park - Peter Lambert vs Mason Barnett
• Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners - 9:40 PM ET - T-Mobile Park - Grayson Rodriguez vs Bryan Woo
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - 10:10 PM ET - UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium - Nick Pivetta vs Tyler Glasnow

Yesterday's Results

• Washington Nationals 4 - Detroit Tigers 2 (W: Will Dion, L: Framber Valdez)
• Toronto Blue Jays 2 - Baltimore Orioles 4 (W: Chris Bassitt, L: Max Scherzer)
• Toronto Blue Jays 2 - Baltimore Orioles 4 (W: Trey Gibson, L: CJ Van Eyk)
• Minnesota Twins 4 - San Francisco Giants 2 (W: Yoendrys Gómez, L: Dylan Smith)
• St. Louis Cardinals 5 - Pittsburgh Pirates 1 (W: Matthew Liberatore, L: Brandon Eisert)
• Milwaukee Brewers 4 - Philadelphia Phillies 1 (W: Logan Henderson, L: Aaron Nola)
• Tampa Bay Rays 2 - New York Yankees 9 (W: Gerrit Cole, L: Mason Englert)
• Cleveland Guardians 0 - Boston Red Sox 1 (W: Sonny Gray, L: Foster Griffin)
• Cincinnati Reds 2 - Atlanta Braves 3 (W: Brent Suter, L: Luis Mey)
• Chicago White Sox 4 - Kansas City Royals 5 (W: Connor Thomas, L: Hagen Smith)
• Miami Marlins 3 - Chicago Cubs 2 (W: Cade Gibson, L: Ryan Rolison)
• New York Mets 7 - Texas Rangers 2 (W: Nolan McLean, L: Jacob Latz)
• Arizona Diamondbacks 5 - Colorado Rockies 3 (W: Merrill Kelly, L: Mason Adams)
• Los Angeles Angels 3 - Athletics 7 (W: Geoff Hartlieb, L: Walbert Ureña)
• San Diego Padres 5 - Los Angeles Dodgers 1 (W: Bradgley Rodriguez, L: Yoshinobu Yamamoto)
• Houston Astros 5 - Seattle Mariners 6 (W: Cooper Criswell, L: Josh Hader)

Standings

AL East

• Tampa Bay Rays 96-62 (.608) - Leaders (L1)
• New York Yankees 91-67 (.576) - 5.0 GB (W1)
• Boston Red Sox 85-73 (.538) - 11.0 GB (W1)
• Baltimore Orioles 78-81 (.491) - 18.5 GB (W3)
• Toronto Blue Jays 77-82 (.484) - 19.5 GB (L3)

AL Central

• Cleveland Guardians 82-76 (.519) - Leaders (L1)
• Chicago White Sox 81-77 (.513) - 1.0 GB (L1)
• Minnesota Twins 75-84 (.472) - 7.5 GB (W2)
• Detroit Tigers 74-85 (.465) - 8.5 GB (L2)
• Kansas City Royals 68-90 (.430) - 14.0 GB (W1)

AL West

• Houston Astros 78-80 (.494) - Leaders (L1)
• Texas Rangers 78-80 (.494) - Leaders (L3)
• Seattle Mariners 74-84 (.468) - 4.0 GB (W1)
• Athletics 63-95 (.399) - 15.0 GB (W2)
• Los Angeles Angels 60-98 (.380) - 18.0 GB (L3)

NL East

• Atlanta Braves 93-65 (.589) - Leaders (W1)
• Philadelphia Phillies 87-71 (.551) - 6.0 GB (L1)
• Miami Marlins 78-80 (.494) - 15.0 GB (W2)
• Washington Nationals 75-84 (.472) - 18.5 GB (W2)
• New York Mets 73-85 (.462) - 20.0 GB (W2)

NL Central

• Milwaukee Brewers 99-59 (.627) - Leaders (W1)
• Chicago Cubs 87-71 (.551) - 12.0 GB (L2)
• Pittsburgh Pirates 80-78 (.506) - 19.0 GB (L1)
• St. Louis Cardinals 77-81 (.487) - 22.0 GB (W1)
• Cincinnati Reds 73-85 (.462) - 26.0 GB (L1)

NL West

• Los Angeles Dodgers 97-61 (.614) - Leaders (L1)
• San Diego Padres 88-70 (.557) - 9.0 GB (W1)
• Arizona Diamondbacks 84-74 (.532) - 13.0 GB (W4)
• San Francisco Giants 65-94 (.409) - 32.5 GB (L2)
• Colorado Rockies 57-101 (.361) - 40.0 GB (L3)

Batting Leaders

Batting Average

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - .316
• 2. Luis Arraez (Philadelphia Phillies) - .312
• 3. Gabriel Moreno (Arizona Diamondbacks) - .310
• 4. Chandler Simpson (Tampa Bay Rays) - .309
• 5. Otto Lopez (Miami Marlins) - .304

Home Runs

• 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - 45
• 2. Kyle Schwarber (Philadelphia Phillies) - 45
• 3. Pete Alonso (Baltimore Orioles) - 41
• 4. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 41
• 5. Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) - 41

OPS

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 1.035
• 2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - .950
• 3. Willson Contreras (Boston Red Sox) - .905
• 4. Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers) - .901
• 5. Ben Rice (New York Yankees) - .899

Pitching Leaders

ERA

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 1.86
• 2. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 1.94
• 3. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 2.16
• 4. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 2.40
• 5. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 2.53

Strikeouts

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 247
• 2. Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians) - 244
• 3. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 239
• 4. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 234
• 5. Jesús Luzardo (Philadelphia Phillies) - 221

WHIP

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 0.80
• 2. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 0.87
• 3. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 0.91
• 4. Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays) - 0.91
• 5. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 0.98

Full picks, power rankings and season stats at [threeandtwobaseball.com](https://threeandtwobaseball.com)