16 games on the MLB slate for Wednesday 23 September 2026. The model has assessed every matchup against the current market.

Season record: 14/46 (30.4%)

Today's Picks

The model has identified 2 value bets today where our win probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied odds.

Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics - MLB

• Model: Oakland Athletics 52.5% vs Los Angeles Angels 47.5%
• Books: Oakland Athletics 45.5% vs Los Angeles Angels 54.5%
• Pick: Oakland Athletics @ 2.20
• Kelly stake: 2.3% of bankroll

Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants - MLB

• Model: San Francisco Giants 51.2% vs Minnesota Twins 48.8%
• Books: San Francisco Giants 42.1% vs Minnesota Twins 57.9%
• Pick: San Francisco Giants @ 2.35
• Kelly stake: 2.7% of bankroll

No Value Identified

The following games were assessed but the model found no edge over the market:

• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - model: Baltimore Orioles 52.9% vs Toronto Blue Jays 47.1%
• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - model: New York Yankees 56.6% vs Tampa Bay Rays 43.4%
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - model: Boston Red Sox 56.0% vs Cleveland Guardians 44.0%
• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - model: Baltimore Orioles 52.5% vs Toronto Blue Jays 47.5%
• Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - model: Kansas City Royals 52.4% vs Chicago White Sox 47.6%
• Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners - model: Seattle Mariners 53.4% vs Houston Astros 46.6%
• Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers - model: Detroit Tigers 60.7% vs Washington Nationals 39.3%
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - model: Texas Rangers 51.5% vs New York Mets 48.5%
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - model: Chicago Cubs 60.6% vs Miami Marlins 39.4%
• Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - model: Philadelphia Phillies 46.6% vs Milwaukee Brewers 53.4%
• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - model: Pittsburgh Pirates 59.2% vs St. Louis Cardinals 40.8%
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - model: Atlanta Braves 67.5% vs Cincinnati Reds 32.5%
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - model: Colorado Rockies 38.1% vs Arizona Diamondbacks 61.9%
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - model: Los Angeles Dodgers 62.6% vs San Diego Padres 37.4%

Today's Schedule

• Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers - 1:10 PM ET - Comerica Park - Richard Lovelady vs Framber Valdez
• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - 1:35 PM ET - Oriole Park at Camden Yards - Max Scherzer vs TBD
• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - 6:35 PM ET - Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants - 3:45 PM ET - Oracle Park - Connor Prielipp vs Cesar Perdomo
• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - 6:40 PM ET - PNC Park - Matthew Liberatore vs Lake Bachar
• Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - 6:40 PM ET - Citizens Bank Park - Logan Henderson vs Aaron Nola
• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - 7:05 PM ET - Yankee Stadium - Ian Seymour vs Gerrit Cole
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - 7:10 PM ET - Fenway Park - Foster Griffin vs Sonny Gray
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - 7:15 PM ET - Truist Park - Andrew Abbott vs Chris Sale
• Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - 7:40 PM ET - Kauffman Stadium - Bryan Hudson vs Seth Lugo
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - 7:40 PM ET - Wrigley Field - Ryan Gusto vs Kevin Gausman
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - 8:05 PM ET - Globe Life Field - Nolan McLean vs TBD
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - 8:40 PM ET - Coors Field - Merrill Kelly vs Mason Adams
• Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics - 9:40 PM ET - Sutter Health Park - Walbert Ureña vs Jeffrey Springs
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - 10:10 PM ET - UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium - Robbie Ray vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
• Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners - 10:10 PM ET - T-Mobile Park - Ethan Pecko vs George Kirby

Yesterday's Results

• Tampa Bay Rays 0 - New York Yankees 2 (W: Carlos Rodón, L: Nick Martinez)
• Tampa Bay Rays 6 - New York Yankees 1 (W: Drew Rasmussen, L: Max Fried)
• Washington Nationals 3 - Detroit Tigers 1 (W: Jackson Kent, L: Drew Anderson)
• St. Louis Cardinals 0 - Pittsburgh Pirates 2 (W: Jared Jones, L: Andre Pallante)
• Milwaukee Brewers 4 - Philadelphia Phillies 6 (W: José Alvarado, L: Colton Gordon)
• Cleveland Guardians 3 - Boston Red Sox 2 (W: Hunter Gaddis, L: Erik Miller)
• Cincinnati Reds 4 - Atlanta Braves 0 (W: Brandon Williamson, L: JR Ritchie)
• Chicago White Sox 14 - Kansas City Royals 11 (W: Noah Schultz, L: Daniel Lynch IV)
• Miami Marlins 8 - Chicago Cubs 2 (W: Josh Ekness, L: Caleb Thielbar)
• New York Mets 6 - Texas Rangers 3 (W: Sean Manaea, L: Nathan Eovaldi)
• Arizona Diamondbacks 7 - Colorado Rockies 2 (W: Michael Soroka, L: Kyle Freeland)
• Los Angeles Angels 7 - Athletics 9 (W: Luis Medina, L: Sam Bachman)
• Houston Astros 7 - Seattle Mariners 0 (W: Miguel Ullola, L: Logan Gilbert)
• Minnesota Twins 3 - San Francisco Giants 2 (W: Taj Bradley, L: Anthony Molina)
• San Diego Padres 0 - Los Angeles Dodgers 7 (W: Justin Wrobleski, L: Michael King)
• Toronto Blue Jays 0 - Baltimore Orioles 0

Standings

AL East

• Tampa Bay Rays 96-61 (.611) - Leaders (W1)
• New York Yankees 90-67 (.573) - 6.0 GB (L1)
• Boston Red Sox 84-73 (.535) - 12.0 GB (L3)
• Toronto Blue Jays 77-80 (.490) - 19.0 GB (L1)
• Baltimore Orioles 76-81 (.484) - 20.0 GB (W1)

AL Central

• Cleveland Guardians 82-75 (.522) - Leaders (W6)
• Chicago White Sox 81-76 (.516) - 1.0 GB (W3)
• Minnesota Twins 74-84 (.468) - 8.5 GB (W1)
• Detroit Tigers 74-84 (.468) - 8.5 GB (L1)
• Kansas City Royals 67-90 (.427) - 15.0 GB (L5)

AL West

• Houston Astros 78-79 (.497) - Leaders (W1)
• Texas Rangers 78-79 (.497) - Leaders (L2)
• Seattle Mariners 73-84 (.465) - 5.0 GB (L1)
• Athletics 62-95 (.395) - 16.0 GB (W1)
• Los Angeles Angels 60-97 (.382) - 18.0 GB (L2)

NL East

• Atlanta Braves 92-65 (.586) - Leaders (L1)
• Philadelphia Phillies 87-70 (.554) - 5.0 GB (W2)
• Miami Marlins 77-80 (.490) - 15.0 GB (W1)
• Washington Nationals 74-84 (.468) - 18.5 GB (W1)
• New York Mets 72-85 (.459) - 20.0 GB (W1)

NL Central

• Milwaukee Brewers 98-59 (.624) - Leaders (L1)
• Chicago Cubs 87-70 (.554) - 11.0 GB (L1)
• Pittsburgh Pirates 80-77 (.510) - 18.0 GB (W5)
• St. Louis Cardinals 76-81 (.484) - 22.0 GB (L1)
• Cincinnati Reds 73-84 (.465) - 25.0 GB (W1)

NL West

• Los Angeles Dodgers 97-60 (.618) - Leaders (W5)
• San Diego Padres 87-70 (.554) - 10.0 GB (L1)
• Arizona Diamondbacks 83-74 (.529) - 14.0 GB (W3)
• San Francisco Giants 65-93 (.411) - 32.5 GB (L1)
• Colorado Rockies 57-100 (.363) - 40.0 GB (L2)

Batting Leaders

Batting Average

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - .314
• 2. Luis Arraez (Philadelphia Phillies) - .314
• 3. Chandler Simpson (Tampa Bay Rays) - .309
• 4. Gabriel Moreno (Arizona Diamondbacks) - .306
• 5. Otto Lopez (Miami Marlins) - .304

Home Runs

• 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - 45
• 2. Kyle Schwarber (Philadelphia Phillies) - 45
• 3. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 41
• 4. Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) - 41
• 5. Pete Alonso (Baltimore Orioles) - 40

OPS

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 1.032
• 2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - .952
• 3. Willson Contreras (Boston Red Sox) - .905
• 4. Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers) - .902
• 5. James Wood (Washington Nationals) - .897

Pitching Leaders

ERA

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 1.86
• 2. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 1.94
• 3. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 2.18
• 4. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 2.40
• 5. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 2.51

Strikeouts

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 247
• 2. Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians) - 244
• 3. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 239
• 4. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 234
• 5. Jesús Luzardo (Philadelphia Phillies) - 221

WHIP

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 0.80
• 2. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 0.87
• 3. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 0.91
• 4. Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays) - 0.91
• 5. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 0.99

Full picks, power rankings and season stats at [threeandtwobaseball.com](https://threeandtwobaseball.com)