16 games on the MLB slate for Tuesday 22 September 2026. The model has assessed every matchup against the current market.

Season record: 14/45 (31.1%)

Today's Picks

The model has identified 1 value bet today where our win probability exceeds the bookmaker's implied odds.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - MLB

• Model: Philadelphia Phillies 51.0% vs Milwaukee Brewers 49.0%
• Books: Philadelphia Phillies 56.2% vs Milwaukee Brewers 43.8%
• Pick: Milwaukee Brewers @ 2.26
• Kelly stake: 1.5% of bankroll

No Value Identified

The following games were assessed but the model found no edge over the market:

• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - model: New York Yankees 53.4% vs Tampa Bay Rays 46.6%
• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - model: Baltimore Orioles 51.9% vs Toronto Blue Jays 48.1%
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - model: Boston Red Sox 53.7% vs Cleveland Guardians 46.3%
• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - model: New York Yankees 53.8% vs Tampa Bay Rays 46.2%
• Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - model: Kansas City Royals 51.0% vs Chicago White Sox 49.0%
• Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners - model: Seattle Mariners 55.1% vs Houston Astros 44.9%
• Los Angeles Angels @ Oakland Athletics - model: Oakland Athletics 53.4% vs Los Angeles Angels 46.6%
• Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers - model: Detroit Tigers 60.9% vs Washington Nationals 39.1%
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - model: Texas Rangers 55.6% vs New York Mets 44.4%
• Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants - model: San Francisco Giants 47.5% vs Minnesota Twins 52.5%
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - model: Atlanta Braves 62.4% vs Cincinnati Reds 37.6%
• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - model: Pittsburgh Pirates 58.0% vs St. Louis Cardinals 42.0%
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - model: Chicago Cubs 63.2% vs Miami Marlins 36.8%
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - model: Colorado Rockies 35.8% vs Arizona Diamondbacks 64.2%
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - model: Los Angeles Dodgers 54.6% vs San Diego Padres 45.4%

Today's Schedule

• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - 1:05 PM ET - Yankee Stadium - Nick Martinez vs Carlos Rodón
• Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees - 7:05 PM ET - Yankee Stadium - Drew Rasmussen vs Max Fried
• Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles - 6:35 PM ET - Oriole Park at Camden Yards - Max Scherzer vs Chris Bassitt
• Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers - 6:40 PM ET - Comerica Park - Jackson Kent vs Drew Anderson
• St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - 6:40 PM ET - PNC Park - Andre Pallante vs Jared Jones
• Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies - 6:40 PM ET - Citizens Bank Park - Dustin May vs Zack Wheeler
• Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox - 6:45 PM ET - Fenway Park - Parker Messick vs Payton Tolle
• Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves - 7:15 PM ET - Truist Park - Brandon Williamson vs JR Ritchie
• Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals - 7:40 PM ET - Kauffman Stadium - Anthony Kay vs Daniel Lynch IV
• Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs - 7:40 PM ET - Wrigley Field - Janson Junk vs TBD
• New York Mets @ Texas Rangers - 8:05 PM ET - Globe Life Field - Sean Manaea vs MacKenzie Gore
• Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies - 8:40 PM ET - Coors Field - Michael Soroka vs Kyle Freeland
• Los Angeles Angels @ Athletics - 9:40 PM ET - Sutter Health Park - Yusei Kikuchi vs Brady Basso
• Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners - 9:40 PM ET - T-Mobile Park - Cristian Javier vs Logan Gilbert
• Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants - 9:45 PM ET - Oracle Park - Taj Bradley vs Anthony Molina
• San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers - 10:10 PM ET - UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium - Michael King vs TBD

Yesterday's Results

• Toronto Blue Jays 3 - Baltimore Orioles 4 (W: Yennier Cano, L: Tyler Rogers)
• Washington Nationals 2 - Detroit Tigers 9 (W: Keider Montero, L: DJ Herz)
• Minnesota Twins 2 - San Francisco Giants 5 (W: Tristan Beck, L: Zebby Matthews)

Standings

AL East

• Tampa Bay Rays 95-60 (.613) - Leaders (W2)
• New York Yankees 89-66 (.574) - 6.0 GB (L2)
• Boston Red Sox 84-72 (.538) - 11.5 GB (L2)
• Toronto Blue Jays 77-80 (.490) - 19.0 GB (L1)
• Baltimore Orioles 76-81 (.484) - 20.0 GB (W1)

AL Central

• Cleveland Guardians 81-75 (.519) - Leaders (W5)
• Chicago White Sox 80-76 (.513) - 1.0 GB (W2)
• Detroit Tigers 74-83 (.471) - 7.5 GB (W1)
• Minnesota Twins 73-84 (.465) - 8.5 GB (L1)
• Kansas City Royals 67-89 (.429) - 14.0 GB (L4)

AL West

• Texas Rangers 78-78 (.500) - Leaders (L1)
• Houston Astros 77-79 (.494) - 1.0 GB (L3)
• Seattle Mariners 73-83 (.468) - 5.0 GB (W1)
• Athletics 61-95 (.391) - 17.0 GB (L6)
• Los Angeles Angels 60-96 (.385) - 18.0 GB (L1)

NL East

• Atlanta Braves 92-64 (.590) - Leaders (W3)
• Philadelphia Phillies 86-70 (.551) - 6.0 GB (W1)
• Miami Marlins 76-80 (.487) - 16.0 GB (L3)
• Washington Nationals 73-84 (.465) - 19.5 GB (L2)
• New York Mets 71-85 (.455) - 21.0 GB (L1)

NL Central

• Milwaukee Brewers 98-58 (.628) - Leaders (W3)
• Chicago Cubs 87-69 (.558) - 11.0 GB (W2)
• Pittsburgh Pirates 79-77 (.506) - 19.0 GB (W4)
• St. Louis Cardinals 76-80 (.487) - 22.0 GB (W1)
• Cincinnati Reds 72-84 (.462) - 26.0 GB (L2)

NL West

• Los Angeles Dodgers 96-60 (.615) - Leaders (W4)
• San Diego Padres 87-69 (.558) - 9.0 GB (W5)
• Arizona Diamondbacks 82-74 (.526) - 14.0 GB (W2)
• San Francisco Giants 65-92 (.414) - 31.5 GB (W1)
• Colorado Rockies 57-99 (.365) - 39.0 GB (L1)

Batting Leaders

Batting Average

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - .313
• 2. Luis Arraez (Philadelphia Phillies) - .313
• 3. Chandler Simpson (Tampa Bay Rays) - .309
• 4. Gabriel Moreno (Arizona Diamondbacks) - .307
• 5. Otto Lopez (Miami Marlins) - .305

Home Runs

• 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - 45
• 2. Kyle Schwarber (Philadelphia Phillies) - 45
• 3. Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) - 41
• 4. Pete Alonso (Baltimore Orioles) - 40
• 5. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 40

OPS

• 1. Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) - 1.027
• 2. Pete Crow-Armstrong (Chicago Cubs) - .949
• 3. Willson Contreras (Boston Red Sox) - .905
• 4. Shohei Ohtani (Los Angeles Dodgers) - .902
• 5. James Wood (Washington Nationals) - .900

Pitching Leaders

ERA

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 1.86
• 2. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 1.94
• 3. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 2.18
• 4. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 2.40
• 5. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 2.51

Strikeouts

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 247
• 2. Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians) - 244
• 3. Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) - 239
• 4. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 234
• 5. Jesús Luzardo (Philadelphia Phillies) - 221

WHIP

• 1. Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers) - 0.80
• 2. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 0.87
• 3. Cam Schlittler (New York Yankees) - 0.91
• 4. Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays) - 0.93
• 5. Chris Sale (Atlanta Braves) - 0.99

Full picks, power rankings and season stats at [threeandtwobaseball.com](https://threeandtwobaseball.com)